We are already in week 16 of the NFL season, which is insane because it feels as though the season just started a couple of weeks ago! The bad news is that this means DFS is almost over for the season as well, and as someone that only plays NFL DFS, I am dreading this end of this week. We will still have one more regular season slate for week 17, but that slate is always unpredictable, so DFS players should consider this as the last great week for them to make some money. Hopefully everyone has had a profitable year, and has had a lot of fun while doing it.
Drew Lock – $7,300 Drew Lock since the starting quarterback for the Broncos has pleasantly surprised me, and I feel confident having him in my cash game lineups. Lock since becoming the starter has only had one bad game, which was last week against a good Kansas City defense in the snow. The Broncos are taking on the Detroit Lions this week, who have given up the second most passing yards this season so far. The nice part about this game is that the Lions like to throw the ball a lot, so if they can score points that means that Lock will be forced to pass over and over again. Lock has only had one game under 14 points since taking over, and has proven that he knows how to use his weapons. He is severely underpriced for his matchup, and will be a staple for my cash game lineups this week.
Joe Mixon – $7,800 Joe Mixon is a great option at running back this week against the Miami Dolphins who gave up a huge game to Saquon Barkley last week. Keep in mind that Mixon will be the chalk this week, and will probably be 30% owned at least, so if you fade Mixon and he goes off, then you will be at a severe disadvantage off the jump. Mixon has seen an enormous amount of volume since the middle of the season, receiving at least 15 carries per game since that time. Mixon also has 70+ rushing yards in all of those games and has scored 5 out of 8 games as well. He also has at least once reception in all of those games except for one. The Bengals have shown us that Mixon is their gameplan, and they will continue to lean on him to create offense for them.
Keenan Allen – $6,700 Keenan Allen is way too cheap this week considering the fact that he has been seeing a good amount of volume again the past few weeks. Allen in the middle of the season had several outings with only single digit fantasy points, but the last five games he has scored more than 13 points in each game. He has had 12 red zone receptions so far this year which is #6 in the league. The Chargers’ are playing the Raiders this week, who have been bad against the pass and feel like they have essentially given up on the season. Allen, who is one of the best route runners in the league should see plenty of targets and rack up some good production against this defense. Allen at only $6,700 is extremely affordable and will allow you to jam in other good plays as well.
Zach Ertz – $6,900 This may be the most obvious play at the position this week, but most people are used to spending down at the tight end position and will be hesitant to pay up for Ertz. To say that the Eagles’ pass catching options are decimated would be an understatement. Ertz is competing for targets against players such as JJ Arcega-Whiteside and Greg Ward. He has seen 10 or more targets in five of the last six games, and has also had four touchdowns along that stretch. He has seen 128 targets so far this year which is nine per game, and is #1 in the league at the position. This week is also an important divisional matchup against the Cowboys that will more than likely decide who gets into the playoffs. Wentz will look for Ertz as his safety net over and over again in this game, and I would not be surprised if Ertz finishes with 100+ yards and two touchdowns.
Lamar Jackson – $9,300 There is no reason to make your cash lineups more difficult than they need to be. Lamar ackson has been by far the best option as a quarterback on the season, averaging 27.99 fantasy points this year on FanDuel. He saw a price-hike this week after throwing for five touchdowns last week against the Jets and is now sitting at $9,300. Jackson will absolutely blow out the Cleveland Browns this week and should return value by halftime. The only downside is that if the Ravens play too well, then we could see Jackson sit for the second half, but he has played into the second half every game this year. He should come at a low ownership percentage due to his ridiculous price, but if you can find a way to fit him into your lineups, you will have a huge advantage over your opponents.
Ezekiel Elliott – $8,700 Ezekiel Elliott is someone that I would be looking to for my tournament lineups this week, as he has made a career out of owning the Eagles anytime that they play. In all of his games but one against the Eagles, he has ran for over 100 yards. We also have to remember that Prescott has been banged up coming into this game, so I would expect the Cowboys to lean on Zeke to carry the workload for this offense. Zeke has carried the ball 270 times this year, which is #2 at the position, and he also has 380 receiving yards to go with that. The volume will be there for Zeke, and if the Eagles’ had trouble last week stopping Adrian Peterson, then I can only imagine how hard they are going to struggle trying to stop the Cowboys this week. Zeke should be a staple for your tournament lineups, and I believe he will have a great game this weekend.
James Washington – $6,600 James Washington will come in at a low ownership percentage, as he is far too expensive for most players that play DFS. I would almost never pay $6,600 for a wide receiver who is averaging five targets per game, unless it is in a tournament. Washington has been known, going back to his college days, to be a deep threat who could catch a long ball for a touchdown at any point in the game. He seems to be the favorite target for Hodges, which should cause his volume to continue to sky-rocket as long as Hodges is the starter. The Steelers are also playing the Jets this week, and the Jets have been nothing but mediocre against the pass this season. Washington may be priced up quite a bit this week, but he will be so low owned that he is worth the shot on a long ball touchdown.
Hunter Henry – $6,100 Hunter Henry was one of my favorite tight ends coming into the season, and he has not disappointed thus far for fantasy. Last week was a horrendous week for the Chargers, and Hunter Henry’s production suffered because of it. He only scored 1.9 points last week, and disappointed fantasy players everywhere. Henry had his worst game since coming back from injury, and his ownership percentage should suffer because of it. Phillip Rivers uses Henry as more of a wide receiver than a tight end, and throws the ball down the field to Henry which gives him great upside in any given game. Henry has an 11.6 average target distance, which is #2 in the league at the tight end position. He was priced down significantly this week, and you should take advantage of that price after having a terrible game last week.