Week one of the 2019 NFL season is in the books officially. It was an exciting week filled with many huge performances from players, but there were also many players we thought would perform who disappointed if you had then in your FanDuel lineup. The greatest part about playing DFS fantasy is that you are not committed to any specific players for the entirety of the season. It is a new week and a perfect opportunity to look at your lineups with a fresh perspective and build a cash-winning team. Week two of the NFL is one of the hardest to come up with a lineup you love because of recency bias as to what happened last week. Many people will overreact like crazy and will end up making the wrong decisions because of the small sample size of one game that was last week. The key to winning in week two is to keep a level head and not make decisions based solely on what happened in the games on Sunday. If you can stay logical about your plays, there is no reason that your lineups should not be able to cash this upcoming weekend.
Josh Allen – $7,500
Josh Allen is slated to have a big game this week against a Giants’ defense that looked like the worst in the league Sunday against the Dallas Cowboys. The Bills’ offense is not as efficient as Dak and the Cowboys, but I could see this game staying close and forcing the Bills to continue throwing the ball to beat out the Giants. Allen is a great cash play most weeks because of his high floor due to rushing production, last week he ran for 38 yards and a touchdown. This means that Allen automatically got you 9.6 FanDuel points and that’s without even throwing the ball. Last week seems like a low rushing production game for Allen, I would expect him to usually end with around 50 rushing yards per game and possibly a rushing touchdown which makes him a great cash option any given week. He also has an extremely high ceiling which he showed near the end of last season when he was the #1 fantasy quarterback over the last few weeks. Until his salary is fixed to accurately represent his production, I believe that Allen should be a lock in your cash game lineups.
Alvin Kamara – $8,700
The Saints head to LA this weekend to take on the Rams in what should be an exciting game. Currently, Las Vegas has the line for the over-under set at 52.5 points which is the second-highest point total this week. There should be plenty of points scored in this game, which means that there should be plenty of opportunity for the fantasy contributors on these teams. My favorite cash game running back for the week is Alvin Kamara. Kamara showed us last week why he should be considered as an elite running back in the NFL as he handled most of the workload against Houston. During the offseason, I forgot how tremendous Kamara is when he is on the field. He has the most explosiveness in the Saints’ offense and we should continue to see him get a huge workload going forward. Kamara had 13 carries for 97 yards and 7 receptions for 72 yards but did not see the endzone. He also had 13 evaded tackles last week which was #1 in the league. As long as this game is a high scoring affair as many believe it will be, Kamara is going to be in almost all of my lineups.
Michael Thomas – $8,500
My entire lineup is pretty much going to be from the Saints vs Rams game this week. Although I just went over Alvin Kamara, his teammate Michael Thomas is also going to be in most of my lineups. Some people may believe that playing these guys together would limit your upside on any given week, but realistically we are not looking for upside in cash games. Also, the Saints’ offense is a two-man show. Thomas last week against the Texans ended the game with 10 receptions. Between Kamara and Thomas, they saw a total of 30 touches which is extremely valuable when considering how efficient the Saints’ offense is. Thomas ended last week with 132 total target distance which was #11 in the league last week. The Rams’ secondary does not scare me even though they may look good on paper. The Carolina Panthers were almost able to beat them last week even though Cam Newton did not look that great. Brees will pick apart their opponents’ secondary this week with Michael Thomas torching Rams’ DBs all game.
Travis Kelce – $8,000
Travis Kelce is almost a no-brainer choice for the tight end position in cash games this week. We all know how great the Chiefs’ offense looked last year who seemed to carry over their momentum from last year as Patty Mahomes slung the ball with no effort against the supposedly great defense in Jacksonville. As we all know by now, Tyreek Hill has been declared out with an injury for the next 4-6 weeks which opens up many targets on what I would consider to be the best offense in the NFL. Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman are slated to step up and take some of those targets away from Kelce in Hill’s absence, but Pat Mahomes has proven time and time again that Kelce is one of his favorite targets and should get a slight bump up in target volume until Hill is back. Kelce also had the opportunity for a touchdown last week, but Mahomes got too cute with the no-look pass and ended up overthrowing a wide-open Kelce in the endzone. The Chiefs are also taking on the Oakland Raiders this week, who looked good in their season opener. The line for this game is currently set as the highest point total of the entire week at 53.5 points which is even higher than the Saints and Rams contest. Although Kelce may be the most expensive TE this week, I would still expect him to return value and could have a week-winning performance.
Jared Goff – $7,600
My preferred GPP quarterback this week is Jared Goff. Goff underperformed greatly last week against the Carolina Panthers is a game that people believed could be a shootout but ended up on netting Goff 10.44 points on FanDuel. The great part about playing GPP lineups is that you want to utilize the players that performed poorly the week before that you still believe in. Due to recency bias, I would expect most DFS players to be out on Goff this week considering he was in what seemed like a smash spot last week and disappointed. I could see Goff’s ownership being lower than 10% this week with people overlooking him even though he is going to have to try and keep up with Drew Brees. I’m not expecting the Saints to be able to stop Sean Mcvay’s offense this week. Last week against the Texans, the Saints’ defense looked to be overall pretty solid but gave still had its lapses in coverage which lead to Watson ending up with three touchdowns and also a rushing touchdown. As long as Goff can get his weapons going this week, he could end up as a top-five QB who players should be getting at a low ownership percentage.
Marlon Mack – $7,500
The Colts, rebounding from Andrew Luck’s retirement, showed everyone last week exactly what they would like to do with this offense. Although they did unleash Jacoby Brissett at certain times last week, for the most part, they relied on Marlon Mack to carry the entirety of the load. Mack ended the game with 25 carries for 174 yards against the Chargers, the only downside to the production he was seeing was that he did not get any targets or receptions the entire game. Marlon Mack was one of my favorite players coming into this year based on what we saw last season where he was an RB 1 for the last couple of weeks in the season. There is no reason that Mack should see less work against the Titans defense which gave up a total of 102 yards and a rushing touchdown against the Browns. The Titans’ defense was thought to be one of the weaker defenses coming into the season, and although they did well against the Browns, I would argue that the Browns’ offensive line is the reason they could not get going on offense.
Larry Fitzgerald – $5,500
There is going to be a lot of hesitation this week to put any Arizona Cardinal in your lineup considering they are going up against the Ravens this week. The Ravens have consistently been one of the best defenses in the league this year which seemed to be the case last week still as they only gave up 10 points to the Dolphins. Tough matchups that can be exploited are something that DFS players should be looking at while building their GPP lineups. Although a player rarely breaks out against a defense like this, it is worth a shot because if they do, their ownership percentage will most times be close to zero. Fitzgerald had 151 total target distance last game which is quite impressive with his new quarterback Kyler Murray throwing him the ball. We have to keep in mind as well that although the Ravens have been a top-tier defense, they also have been banged up as of recent. I’m expecting Fitzgerald to continue producing in this new offense and at only $5,500 he could be a great way to save some of your salary for bigger-name players.
George Kittle – $7,100
Kittle has proven that he is an elite talent at the NFL level and should be considered as one of the top three tight ends in the league along with Kelce and Ertz. Kittle had a rough week one against the Bucs as he ended up with 8 receptions for 54 yards. The caveat is that this game was not quite what everyone expected it to be. It was projected to be a shootout where there would be plenty of fantasy points scored on both sides. The 49ers did end up scoring 31 points in total, but 14 of those points were scored by their defense. Also, Kittle did end up catching two touchdowns from Garoppolo last week, but they were both called back by holding penalties. Because of Kittle’s lack-luster performance combined with his pretty high salary, he will probably not be highly owned in most lineups. I could see Kittle ending next week with 100+ yards and at least one touchdown against a Bengals defense that I do not believe in.